All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Valley Kickoff |
Harrison 11-Way |
Maverick Stampede |
Tippecanoe City/County |
Harrison Invitational |
Wildcat Classic |
Flashrock Invitational |
North Central Conference |
Harrison (WL) Sectional |
Brownsburg Regional |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/13 |
8/22 |
8/26 |
8/29 |
9/2 |
9/9 |
9/16 |
9/30 |
10/14 |
10/21 |
10/28 |
| Team Rating |
404 | |
467 |
428 |
510 |
413 |
440 |
482 |
416 |
452 |
411 |
375 |
417 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
443 |
428 |
510 |
413 |
440 |
454 |
416 |
452 |
411 |
375 |
417 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Valley Kickoff |
Harrison 11-Way |
Maverick Stampede |
Tippecanoe City/County |
Harrison Invitational |
Wildcat Classic |
Flashrock Invitational |
North Central Conference |
Harrison (WL) Sectional |
Brownsburg Regional |
State Finals |
|---|
| 82 |
Kaitlyn Manfra |
10 |
19:39 |
19:59 |
19:57 |
19:50 |
20:15 |
19:30 |
19:23 |
19:41 |
19:54 |
19:26 |
19:30 |
19:30 |
19:34 |
| 103 |
Sawyer DeWitt |
11 |
19:46 |
19:51 |
20:29 |
20:24 |
20:23 |
20:27 |
19:54 |
20:28 |
19:58 |
20:26 |
19:55 |
19:35 |
20:02 |
| 120 |
Rubi Rider |
11 |
19:52 |
20:05 |
19:44 |
20:07 |
20:09 |
20:03 |
20:02 |
20:17 |
20:08 |
20:05 |
20:00 |
19:41 |
20:20 |
| 391 |
Converse Gabrielle |
9 |
21:10 |
|
|
21:13 |
21:46 |
20:53 |
21:39 |
|
21:00 |
21:25 |
21:14 |
21:10 |
21:01 |
| 429 |
Zoe Cook |
10 |
21:22 |
21:45 |
21:23 |
20:58 |
21:31 |
21:39 |
21:27 |
21:38 |
21:24 |
21:41 |
21:26 |
21:10 |
22:13 |
| 443 |
Isabella Burgess |
9 |
21:25 |
|
21:34 |
21:42 |
21:50 |
22:27 |
21:41 |
21:24 |
21:15 |
21:27 |
21:16 |
21:19 |
21:16 |
| 659 |
Lacie Cooley |
10 |
21:57 |
22:21 |
21:37 |
22:12 |
22:52 |
21:17 |
22:16 |
22:03 |
21:22 |
22:44 |
22:21 |
22:00 |
21:48 |
| 779 |
Carla Rodriguez |
10 |
22:11 |
|
22:24 |
22:28 |
21:58 |
22:23 |
22:27 |
21:59 |
21:39 |
|
|
|
|
| 903 |
Gu Emma |
12 |
22:30 |
|
|
22:38 |
22:22 |
22:24 |
|
22:38 |
22:24 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,114 |
Hannah Beecher |
12 |
23:00 |
22:12 |
|
22:40 |
22:25 |
22:40 |
23:04 |
23:18 |
23:21 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,213 |
Anna Cahee |
11 |
23:14 |
23:09 |
22:54 |
23:11 |
23:06 |
23:02 |
23:26 |
23:30 |
23:08 |
|
|
|
|
|
Anna Ginzel |
10 |
23:33 |
|
22:53 |
23:12 |
24:17 |
23:10 |
23:40 |
24:36 |
23:18 |
|
|
|
|
|
Vanessa McNiven |
9 |
23:36 |
|
23:21 |
23:31 |
23:08 |
23:15 |
24:05 |
23:32 |
23:59 |
|
|
|
|
|
Britton Frost |
10 |
23:56 |
|
24:21 |
23:24 |
23:35 |
23:58 |
24:16 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Nicol Weston |
11 |
23:59 |
|
23:47 |
23:48 |
24:14 |
23:27 |
24:30 |
|
23:57 |
|
|
|
|
|
Abigail Schneider |
11 |
24:04 |
|
24:48 |
|
|
|
|
|
23:44 |
|
|
|
|
|
Kidest Tillett |
9 |
24:19 |
|
25:12 |
23:57 |
24:27 |
23:38 |
|
|
24:28 |
|
|
|
|
|
Maelin Spitznagle |
10 |
24:19 |
|
|
24:44 |
|
24:30 |
24:26 |
|
23:41 |
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| State Finals |
100% |
19.4 |
468 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
1.1 |
1.0 |
2.3 |
3.0 |
6.1 |
7.3 |
9.5 |
14.2 |
17.0 |
17.2 |
14.9 |
4.7 |
1.7 |
0.2 |
| Regionals |
100% |
5.8 |
191 |
|
0.1 |
4.0 |
14.1 |
25.8 |
24.6 |
21.0 |
8.4 |
1.8 |
0.4 |
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.0 |
31 |
98.2 |
1.7 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Kaitlyn Manfra |
100% |
86.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
94.0% |
| Sawyer DeWitt |
100% |
100.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
88.3% |
| Rubi Rider |
100% |
115.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
78.4% |
| Converse Gabrielle |
100% |
222.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
| Zoe Cook |
100% |
230.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
| Isabella Burgess |
100% |
231.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
| Lacie Cooley |
100% |
242.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Kaitlyn Manfra |
100% |
19.1 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
1.8 |
2.9 |
3.7 |
4.4 |
4.6 |
5.5 |
5.2 |
4.7 |
5.9 |
4.8 |
4.6 |
5.2 |
4.2 |
4.6 |
3.9 |
3.8 |
4.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Sawyer DeWitt |
100% |
23.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.8 |
1.5 |
1.8 |
2.3 |
2.3 |
2.7 |
2.3 |
2.9 |
3.8 |
3.9 |
4.0 |
4.2 |
5.2 |
4.7 |
4.7 |
4.4 |
4.4 |
|
100.0% |
| Rubi Rider |
100% |
27.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
1.4 |
1.1 |
1.8 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.9 |
2.8 |
2.4 |
3.4 |
2.8 |
3.3 |
3.5 |
4.6 |
3.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Converse Gabrielle |
100% |
60.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Zoe Cook |
100% |
68.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Isabella Burgess |
100% |
71.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Lacie Cooley |
100% |
101.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Kaitlyn Manfra |
2.4 |
0.7 |
35.0 |
36.0 |
19.7 |
8.6 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sawyer DeWitt |
3.2 |
0.3 |
14.4 |
28.6 |
33.3 |
23.2 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Rubi Rider |
4.0 |
|
5.9 |
15.6 |
29.2 |
48.3 |
0.9 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Converse Gabrielle |
8.9 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
4.6 |
10.4 |
15.3 |
22.0 |
19.1 |
13.2 |
8.0 |
4.3 |
1.5 |
1.3 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Zoe Cook |
10.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.9 |
2.3 |
4.8 |
10.6 |
16.3 |
17.1 |
18.1 |
12.6 |
8.5 |
4.8 |
2.5 |
1.1 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Isabella Burgess |
11.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.4 |
1.0 |
3.9 |
7.6 |
13.3 |
17.1 |
18.8 |
15.3 |
10.8 |
5.0 |
3.6 |
2.0 |
0.9 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
| Lacie Cooley |
16.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
1.2 |
4.3 |
7.3 |
11.4 |
13.9 |
14.0 |
11.5 |
12.3 |
10.1 |
6.7 |
3.8 |
2.1 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
|
